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EDITORIAL
February 6, 2007
Newsday
Climate Change Demands Action
Panel report erases lingering doubts
Even the Bush White House, stubbornly skeptical about the dangers of global warming, accepts the latest report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, which says it's "very likely" that human activity has caused most of the global temperature increase since 1950. This is a time to start moving from debate to action.

The panel's fourth report since 1990 is not a shoot-from-the-hip screed from an activist group. It summarizes the work of hundreds of authors and peer reviewers, modified in response to more than 30,000 comments on the drafts. So it sifts out extreme findings to achieve a broad consensus. It won the approval of 113 nations, including the United States.

 "It reflects the sizeable and robust body of knowledge regarding the physical science of climate change, including the finding that the Earth is warming and that human activities have very likely caused most of the warming of the last 50 years," said the top White House delegate to the panel's meeting. The panel will propose solutions later this year. It's time to get beyond Kyoto and reach global agreement on a menu of steps to reduce global warming. The precautionary principle dictates that, even in the absence of 100 percent certainty, we now know enough to get moving fast, to do what we can to slow down the warming.


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Global Warming Worry Marks Last Gasp of a Bull Market
Category: NEWS
By: Pete Kendall, February 6, 2007
At the peaks of expansions, most people feel a stronger kinship with animals and trees. The environmental, or ecology, movement, when expressed in terms such as, “let’s work together to clean up the environment,” is a manifestation of the last stage of the trend toward inclusion.
The Elliott Wave Theorist, September 1992

global warming chart

Suddenly, global warming stories are pouring down. Here’s a sample from just the last few hours:
There Is No Refuting Global Warming
Sioux City Journal

Slave Trade and Global Warming to Overshadow the Three R's
This is London

Fight against Global Warming Must Start Now
Belleville News-Democrat

Global Warming Is Here to Stay
The Alligator

Scientists Predict Droughts
UC San Diego

Global Warming : Baby Boomers Blamed
 Seniorscopie.com, France

Capitalism Creates Global Warming
Anarkismo.net

Environment Confab Blames Global Warming on Economic Boom
Angola Press

Global Warming to Hit Poor Worst, Says UN's Ban
CSRwire.com


This is a handful of the headlines Google news lists for the last 24 hours. The chart of “global warming” references in four major daily newspapers captures the extent to which worries about man-made environmental damage has exploded in recent weeks.  Notice the initial spike also. The first concerns really emerged in 1986 and 1987 and then jumped higher in 1988-1990, which comprised the main part of a fourth wave of Primary degree. This is an important window into the current bear market as The Elliott Wave Theorist explained in 2001:
Negative themes in “wave four” within the “fives waves up” presage those that will dominate, more dramatically and on a much bigger scale, in the ensuing “three waves down.”

The chart and headlines above are a dramatic picture of that dominance emerging at the start of the second wave down in a bear market. When one headline over an Associated Press story concluded, “Global Warming to Continue for Centuries” one inside wag asked, “How can you NOT take the other side of that trade?” He has a point, but as we said here September 22, 2006, the reality of global warming is not the issue here. The socionomically significant aspect is the mass acceptance of the phenomenon and belief that “something has to be done.” As we also explained on September 22, the environmental awareness is a larger scale version of the ecology movement that appeared as the Cycle IV bear market in social mood was grabbing hold.

The quote at the top of the page explains why it’s appearing now. But EWT has also noted, the process is a two-step sequence in which a “positive minded save-the-world social concern” at the final highs gives way to “rebellious, angry social concern” as stock prices start to fall. Some of the cracks are already starting to show in the headlines above. Many are ominously phrased, like the "Erases Lingering Doubts" line over the editorial at left. Another group of stories talks about the introduction of new environmental enforcement institutions and methods. As a bottom approaches, these efforts will take the form of new laws and regulations that intensify the argument and multiplies the social unrest so that the effects of human responses to plantary change are worse than the warming trend itself.

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