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BREAKING NEWS
October 11, 2006
Across Europe, Worries on Islam Spread to Center
Europe appears to be crossing an invisible line regarding its Muslim minorities: more people in the political mainstream are arguing that Islam cannot be reconciled with European values.

“You saw what happened with the pope,” said Patrick Gonman, 43, the owner of a wine bar in Antwerp. “He said Islam is an aggressive religion. And the next day they kill a nun somewhere and make his point. Rationality is gone.”

Mr. Gonman is hardly an extremist. In fact, he organized a protest last week in which 20 bars and restaurants closed on the night when a far-right party with an anti-Muslim message held a rally nearby.

His worry is shared by centrists across Europe angry at terror attacks in the name of religion on a continent that has largely abandoned it, and disturbed that any criticism of Islam or Muslim immigration provokes threats of violence.

For years those who raised their voices were mostly on the far right. Now those normally seen as moderates — ordinary people as well as politicians — are asking whether once unquestioned values of tolerance and multiculturalism should have limits.

The line between open criticism of another group or religion and bigotry can be a thin one, and many Muslims worry that it is being crossed more and more.

Whatever the motivations, “the reality is that views on both sides are becoming more extreme,” said Imam Wahid Pedersen, a prominent Dane who is a convert to Islam. “It has become politically correct to attack Islam, and this is making it hard for moderates on both sides to remain reasonable.” Mr. Pedersen fears that onetime moderates are baiting Muslims, the very people they say should integrate into Europe.

The worries about extremism are real. The Belgian far-right party, Vlaams Belang, took 20.5 percent of the vote in city elections last Sunday, five percentage points higher than in 2000. In Austria this month, right-wing parties also polled well, on a campaign promise that had rarely been made openly: that Austria should start to deport its immigrants. Vlaams Belang, too, has suggested “repatriation” for immigrants who do not made greater efforts to integrate.

Many experts note that there is a deep and troubled history between Islam and Europe, with the Crusaders and the Ottoman Empire jostling each other for centuries and bloodily defining the boundaries of Christianity and Islam. A sense of guilt over Europe’s colonial past and then World War II, when intolerance exploded into mass murder, allowed a large migration to occur without any uncomfortable debates over the real differences between migrant and host.

Now Europeans are discussing the limits of tolerance, the right with increasing stridency and the left with trepidation.

In Germany a Mozart opera with a scene of Muhammad’s severed head was canceled because of security fears. With each incident, mainstream leaders are speaking more plainly. “Self-censorship does not help us against people who want to practice violence in the name of Islam,” Chancellor Angela Merkel of Germany said in criticizing the opera’s cancellation. “It makes no sense to retreat.”
The New York Times


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A Politically Correct Shift from Tolerance to Limits
Category: SOCIAL CHANGE
By: Pete Kendall, October 11, 2006
Transmission of all kinds of cultural experiences and values takes place over the years, over the decades, and even over the centuries. How else can we account for the fact that some Southerners still resent Yankees for the Civil War or that some Muslims still resent Christians for the Crusades, events that took place over a century and nearly a millennium ago, respectively?
The Wave Principle of Human Social Behavior

Yes, the Dow Jones Industrial Average is at a new all-time high, but the S&P is still below its March 2000 peak and the NASDAQ is well below its record at the same point in time. Another sign of the difference in social mood is the western world’s acceptance of its Muslim brothers. It’s just not where it was at the peak in 1999/2000. Here’s a quote from the July 1999 issue of The Elliot Wave Financial Forecast that describes the openess that ruled the peak:

To catch one of the last great Grand Supercycle photo opportunities (for the first six, see pages 340 and 341 of Human Social Behavior), set your VCR to record the world news of July 15. That’s the day the “Reconciliation March” will complete a four-year journey to atone for the raping, looting and murdering of Jewish and Muslim “infidels” by Christian Crusaders in July 1099. “Thousands of Western Christians from all walks of life are retracing” the steps of their ancestors “to express repentance and seek forgiveness for the atrocities of the crusades.” The walk began in France in 1995 and has moved through Europe, the Balkans, Asia Minor and now into the Middle East. This event binds together two of history’s most monumental moments of collective human expression. In linking these two manias from the first and last centuries of the Millennium, we can see the constancy, connectedness and contradictions of social mood. According to the inclusionistic mindset of the reconcilers now marching on Jerusalem, there is an obvious conflict between the savagery and intense faith of the Crusaders. “Exactly 900 years ago Christians visited this land with a sword and a spirit of vengeance in a manner contrary to teachings and character of Jesus,” says one of the group’s leaders. Of course, the social mood then was one of extreme exclusionism. At this end of the rising Millennium wave, it is the opposite.

Someday, observers will look back at the last days of the great bull market and be just as perplexed by the behavior of its participants. Perhaps the most glaring contradiction will be how great things were right before the bottom fell out. Things today are so great that people are literally marching all over the world saying “Forgive me” for misdeeds that took place nearly a millennium before they were even born.

It’s somewhat subjective but the article at left clearly shows bullish traits of tolerance, rationality and acceptance dissipating as more bearish qualities like extremism, anger, polarization, conservatism and a collective focus on differences press to the fore.  The article attributes the migration of Muslims without "any uncomfortable debates over the real differences" between Europeans and Islam to a "sense of guilt," but that's not it at all. There was no "debate" because even the most hated social entities came to happily co-habitiate during the great bull market of the late 1900s. After 1000 years, the Pope apologized and the hatchet was buried. But as HSB points out, "Social mood and experience has a memory. That is why waves continue to form at the highest observable degrees. Their antecedents provide the raw material for each new impulse and correction. Waves, then, represent a kind of forward-weighted summation of the human experience." Waves of similar degree and direction tend to pick up where preceding waves leave off. So, the re-emergence of the "deep and troubled history" of conflict between Islam and Western Europe signals a turn that is very large indeed. 

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