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BREAKING NEWS
February 15, 2007
North America Hurts Coke’s Earnings
Coke continued to bleed carbonated water in North America last quarter as declining soda sales there contributed to a 22 percent drop in profit, the company reported Wednesday.

The hit was mostly the result of a roughly $602 million related to an acknowledgement that North American franchise rights to sell Coke products are worth less than they once were. Why? Because soft drink case sales have not grown in recent years nearly as fast as they once did.

Consumers in North America have increasingly turned away from traditional soft drinks in favor of water, energy drinks, sports drinks and other noncarbonated beverages. Those categories, while growing fast, aren't yet prevalent enough to make up the difference.
Atlanta Journal Constitution


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There Is No Way Around the Soft Market for Coca-Cola
Category: CAFFEINE
By: Pete Kendall, February 15, 2007
The sugar rush and caffeine buzz that kept consumers tuned in to the high-energy and social imagery of bull market are subsiding because they are incompatible with bear market psychology. Bear markets are anti-fitness, so this is not a health kick. People just don’t want to feel jazzed up as much as they used to.
The Elliott Wave Theorist, January 2007

blak cokeCoke just can’t seem to get any traction. The reason was covered in Socio Times on May 4, 2006 and June 29, 2006, the January issue The Elliott Wave Theorist and various other EWI entries over the last seven years. As we noted here in May, bear markets go better without Coke. At this point, Coke appears to realize this, too, as it is furiously trying to diversify into something that will put it back on the growth curve it was on for all but a few parts of the last century. As we explained here in June, this effort is coming up shy because the demand for energy drinks (as well as water and sports beverages for that matter) are also a byproduct of the bull market in social mood. The picture shows Coke’s latest effort to grow its way out of the bear market, a coffee based Coke drink. Blak is a good bear market name, and, according to one review, it’s surprisingly tasty. But here again, Coke is leaning on a product that is way to reliant on the long-term uptrend. For more on coffee’s bull market pedigree, check out our write-up on Starbucks in the November issue of The Elliott Wave Financial Forecast.

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